The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles have officially touched down in Arizona and will soon meet on the gridiron for Super Bowl LVII. Football’s premier game is drawing massive amounts of attention per usual, especially in the sports betting world.
In gambling, a proposition bet or “prop bet” is a bet made on whether something will or won’t happen during the course of a game. You can bet on specific players, outcomes and even the coin toss. Some prop bets are a little out there, but others will tell you a lot about what oddsmakers expect to happen during the course of the game. So what does the current slate of prop bets from Tipico Sportsbook, BetMGM and Bovada tell us about the oddsmakers’ expectations for the Super Bowl?
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The two players most likely to score based on prop bets are Chiefs TE Travis Kelce and Eagles RB Miles Sanders. The folks over at Tipico Sportsbook give Kelce the best odds as an anytime touchdown scorer (-125), but Sanders isn’t too far behind him (-105). Only Jerry Rice has more postseason touchdown receptions than Kelce, so that feels like a safe bet. Kelce has scored a touchdown just once in his two Super Bowl appearances, but he also has three touchdowns this postseason. As for Sanders’ chances, the Chiefs allowed just 10 total touchdowns to running backs during the regular season.
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These two offenses are high-powered, but one is expected to throw the ball with more success than the other. Tipico Sportsbook has Patrick Mahomes’ passing yards over/under set at 290.5 for the Super Bowl. Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts is 50 yards less at 240.5. This shouldn’t come as a big surprise given Hurts is playing with an injury to his throwing shoulder and has only thrown for 121 and 154 yards respectively this postseason. Mahomes on the other hand, has been forced into a more traditional pocket-passing style as he deals with a high ankle sprain suffered in the AFC divisional round.
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Prop bets at Bovada would have you believe that the first turnover of Super Bowl LVII would be an interception. The “Yes” bet is listed as -160, while the “No” bet is listed with +120 odds. Patrick Mahomes has thrown 12 interceptions while Jalen Hurts has thrown six on the year. The Eagles tied for the third-most interceptions in the NFL this season with 17. The Chiefs had 11 interceptions on the year, not including those created so far during the postseason.
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Oddsmakers clearly favor the Eagles’ ground game in this Super Bowl matchup. The over/under for Jalen Hurts is set at 49.5 rushing yards, which tops the quarterback position in this game. The over/under for Miles Sanders is set at 60.5 rushing yards, which is the highest among all running backs. Chiefs fans shouldn’t feel scorned that they’re picking the dual-threat QB that doesn’t a high ankle sprain along with the only 1,000-yard rusher in this game to rack up the yards on the ground.
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Some interesting props here on the results of the opening kickoff. The folks over at BetMGM have a prop for whether the opening kickoff will be a touchback. The “Yes” answer is favored at -165 odds. The “No” answer is listed at +130 odds. Eagles K Jake Elliot has 93 kickoffs this year and 63 of them went for touchbacks. Chiefs K Harrison Butker had 68 kickoffs this year and 44 of them went for touchbacks. Mind you, Butker missed several games this season with an ankle injury. His recent success on kickoffs also hasn’t been that great, though he’s been playing in the elements at Arrowhead Stadium. Arizona’s State Farm Stadium is a dome.
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